Pipes.
This is coolbert:
"The moral is to the physical as three is to one" - - Napoleon.
"This article originally appeared in the New York Sun." [dated 26 December 2006.]
Extracts from a Daniel Pipes article on how the Islamic fundamentalists in the long run can win their war against the United States [the west??].
Pipes is loathed and hated by the jihadi. Adam Gadahn [a/k/a Azzam al Amriki] had special mention of Daniel in one of his [Adam's] propaganda diatribes!
[My comments in bold.]
"Pacifism, self-hatred and complacency are lengthening the war against radical Islam and causing undue casualties."
"On the face of it, its military preponderance makes victory seem inevitable . . . Islamists have nothing like the military machine the Axis deployed in World War II, nor the Soviet Union during the cold war."
It in this case is the western world, most specifically, the U.S. The west and the U.S. DO possess overwhelming military superiority and societal wealth.
The fact that the jihadi has resorted to terrorism, and Fourth Generation Warfare [4GW] in all it's manifestations is a SIGN THAT THE MUSLIMS REALIZE THEMSELVES THAT THEY ARE WEAK AND CANNOT BEAT THE WEST IN THE CONVENTIONAL MANNER. OTHER TACTICS AND STRATEGIES MUST BE EMPLOYED!!
"Yet, more than a few analysts, including myself, worry that it's not so simple."
The fight is not just defined by the military equation. Is much more complex!
"Islamists (defined as persons who demand to live by the sacred law of Islam, the Sharia) might in fact do better than the earlier totalitarians. They could even win. That's because, however strong the Western hardware, its software contains some potentially fatal bugs. Three of them - pacifism, self-hatred, complacency - deserve attention."
"Pacifism: Among the educated, the conviction has widely taken hold that "there is no military solution" to current problems, a mantra applied in every Middle East problem - Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan, the Kurds, terrorism, and the Arab-Israeli conflict."
There is always a political dimension to these struggles that involve the use of military force. "War is politics by a different means - - Clausewitz!"
"Self-hatred: Significant elements in several Western countries --especially the United States, Great Britain, and Israel -- believe their own governments to be repositories of evil, and see terrorism as just punishment for past sins."
The American Professor Noam Chomsky is the archetype in this regard. Read here about self-hatred and scroll to the bottom in particular to read about Professor Noam.
Even the moronic Unabomber Ted Kaczynski in his "manifesto" remarked that the self-hatred of western culture by intellectuals in the west is the sign of a perverse and SICK mind at work!!
"Complacency: The absence of an impressive Islamist military machine imbues many Westerners, especially on the left, with a feeling of disdain. Whereas conventional war - with its men in uniform, its ships, tanks, and planes, and its bloody battles for land and resources - is simple to comprehend, the asymmetric war with radical Islam is elusive. Box cutters and suicide belts make it difficult to perceive this enemy as a worthy opponent. With John Kerry, too many dismiss terrorism as a mere 'nuisance.'"
NOT SO if the jihadi acquires and then USE WITH RELISH AND ENJOYMENT NUCLEAR WEAPONS!!
"Islamists deploy formidable capabilities, however, that go far beyond small-scale terrorism:"
"A potential access to weapons of mass destruction that could devastate Western life."
"A religious appeal that provides deeper resonance and greater staying power than the artificial ideologies of fascism or communism."
Folks in the west have been fond for over 100 years in quoting Nietzsche - - "GOD is dead". Meaning that the importance of religion in the west has become greatly diminished from what it once was. NOT SO in the Islamic world. Religion, if anything, has become OF EVEN GREATER IMPORTANCE TO FOLLOWERS OF ISLAM!! To westerners, this is not comprehensible. The mentality of the Muslim is something the modern person from the "west" cannot deal with.
"An impressively conceptualized, funded, and organized institutional machinery that successfully builds credibility, goodwill, and electoral success."
Hamas and Hezbollah stand out in this regard. These entities not only enjoy support and have been successful in both the military and political arena, but WHEN THEY RULE, THEIR RULE DOES NOT BROOK ANY OPPOSITION!! THEY GAIN POWER, USE POWER, AND MAINTAIN POWER!
"An ideology capable of appealing to Muslims of every size and shape, from Lumpenproletariat to privileged, from illiterates to Ph.D.s, from the well-adjusted to psychopaths, from Yemenis to Canadians. The movement almost defies sociological definition."
Mohammad Iqbal was most prescient in this regard: "Believe me, Europe today is the greatest hindrance in the way of man's ethical achievement. The Muslim, on the other hand, is in possession of these ultimate ideas on the basis of a revelation . . . With him the spiritual basis of life is a matter of conviction for which even the least enlightened man among us can easily lay down his life [9/11!!] . . . The basic idea of Islam that there can be no further revelation binding on man . . . "
[Mohammad passed on in 1938!!]
"A non-violent approach - what I call "lawful Islamism" - that pursues Islamification through educational, political, and religious means, without recourse to illegality or terrorism. Lawful Islamism is proving successful in Muslim-majority countries like Algeria and Muslim-minority ones like the United Kingdom."
Demographics are most important here. Out-breed your opponents and slowly but surely you gain cultural control and dominance that will eventually lead to political dominance. This may take a long time, even a century or so. But will happen. Northern Ireland is the archetype in this regard. 100 years ago or so, Catholics in Northern Ireland were a very small percentage of the population. With immigration from the Irish Republic, having large families, etc., the Catholics are nearly 50 % of the populace and undoubtedly will surpass the Protestant in the next census.
"A huge number of committed cadres. If Islamists constitute 10% to 15% of the Muslim population worldwide, they number some 125 to 200 million persons, or a far greater total than all the fascists and communists, combined, who ever lived."
Committed persons the main thing here. Committed in a manner that even the communists or fascists never seemed to be either.
"Should Islamists get smart and avoid mass destruction, but instead stick to the lawful, political, non-violent route, and should their movement remain vital, it is difficult to see what will stop them."
See my previous blog entry with the comments of David Selbourne on the same topic.
Pretty scary, isn't it!!??
coolbert.
Labels: GWOT
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